Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-189/+144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -189.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has posted 2.5 assists per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 0.9 more than he's posted over the course of the season at home.
Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Grizzlies.
The Clippers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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