Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Wendell Carter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Wendell Carter Jr. has attempted 4.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
The number of three-point shots converted against Joel Embiid has been quite high (1.0 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Wendell Carter Jr. has attempted 2.5 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA.
In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Magic's terrific 24.5 free throw attempts per game rates best in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Wendell Carter Jr. has successfully made a measly 4.1 shots made from the field per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 5.7 rate last season.
Wendell Carter Jr. has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court.
The Magic are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the 76ers).
The Magic rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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