Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 7:10 PM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Wendell Carter Jr. has made 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while playing on the road.
The clash with Nick Richards ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs posting a whopping 17.9 points per game this year when they are on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, Wendell Carter Jr. measures in the 79th percentile for getting to the foul line, logging a whopping 2.7 foul shot attempts per game this year.
As a team, the Orlando Magic have been very successful at getting to the free-throw line: best in the league this year with 24.6 free throws per game.

Favors Under

Wendell Carter Jr. has attempted a mere 7.8 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit less than his 10.8 rate last year.
Wendell Carter Jr. has accumulated 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Magic have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Magic.
The Magic check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).