Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2024

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Wendell Carter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Mar 15, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-112/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raptors have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Orlando Magic.
Wendell Carter Jr. has successfully made 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Magic's fantastic 25.1 foul shots per game places 2nd-best in the NBA this year.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Kelly Olynyk has been quite high (4.0 free throw attempts per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

Wendell Carter Jr. has attempted a measly 7.9 field goals per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.8 rate last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Wendell Carter Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games away from home.
The matchup against Kelly Olynyk is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when Olynyk is at home and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 8.5 shots made from the field per game (7th percentile).
The Magic have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.

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