Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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Wendell Carter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a challenging one for field goals; opposing teams have posted the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.4%).
The Orlando Magic have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Chet Holmgren has been remarkably high this year (4.9 foul shot attempts per game when they are on their home court: 100th percentile).
Wendell Carter Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Wendell Carter Jr. has accumulated 0.6 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.3 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home.
As it relates to offense, the Magic's poor 108.4 points per game places 4th-fewest in the league over the last 15 games.
The number of three-point shots converted against Chet Holmgren has been quite low (0.4 per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Orlando Magic have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Thunder have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Magic.

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