Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Wendell Carter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 1:52 AM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Wendell Carter Jr. has successfully made 51.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's converted from three overall this year.
The Orlando Magic check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made overall this season.
Wendell Carter Jr. figures to get a boost in output in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Wendell Carter Jr. has been on the court for a mere 24.0 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 29.7 minutes per game last year.
The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
When facing fellow starting Cs, Bam Adebayo rates in the 3rd percentile with only 8.2 shots from the field against him per game this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Orlando Magic.

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