Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 7:11 PM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Wendell Carter Jr. has successfully made 38.1% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Wendell Carter Jr. has attempted 5.3 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Wendell Carter Jr. has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The matchup vs. Cleveland is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Cavaliers are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have put up the 28th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (42.4%).

Favors Under

Wendell Carter Jr. has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Cleveland may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Cavaliers are the visiting team (12th-least in the NBA).