Walker Kessler Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 9:18 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has compiled 2.6 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category in recent days.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise possessions for the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games when they are at home, their opposition has secured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).
Walker Kessler stands to see a rise in effectiveness across the board in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Jazz have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.