Walker Kessler Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has put up 7.7 rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 94th percentile.
The Jazz have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 14thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have nabbed 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player production for all stats.