Walker Kessler Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 9:03 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has posted 2.6 offensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA in this category over this stretch: 95th percentile.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Walker Kessler will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).