Walker Kessler Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 10:13 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has totaled 3.4 offensive boards per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
The 8th-speediest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Jazz will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have nabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (retaining possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
Walker Kessler will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production for all stats.