Walker Kessler Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 10:06 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has compiled a terrific 4.3 offensive boards per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.0 offensive boards per game last season.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 15thbest in in the league while at home with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.
With the home court advantage, the Grizzlies have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (7.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
Walker Kessler will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

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