Walker Kessler Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 6:32 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has put up 3.1 offensive boards per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
The Utah Jazz have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).