Walker Kessler Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has put up 3.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games on his home court, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's put up over the course of the season at home.
Relative to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Walker Kessler's playing time has jumped by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 15 games minutes per game.
The Jazz have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Jazz will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
The Utah Jazz check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Walker Kessler ranks in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.3 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
While on their home court, the Kings have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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