Walker Kessler Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 6:12 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has put up 3.1 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 98th percentile.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (77th percentile).
The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Jazz.
Walker Kessler will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player production for all stats.