Walker Kessler Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 7:11 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has posted 3.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 98th percentile.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which should reduce opportunities for the Jazz.
While on their home court, the Hornets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player production in all stat categories.