Walker Kessler Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has tallied 3.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 98th percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile).
The Utah Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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