Walker Kessler Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 6:36 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has put up 2.9 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 98th percentile.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games on the road, which ought to increase plays for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (75th percentile).
The Utah Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Away from their home court, the Spurs have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).