Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Feb 28, 2025 10:34 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has sunk a whopping 74.4% of his field goal attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 68.5 mark last year.
Walker Kessler has made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts playing at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.0 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Jazz rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Naz Reid has been quite high this year (3.0 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 80th percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler slots into the 78th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.
In regard to offense, the Utah Jazz's subpar 111.1 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 7th-fewest in the league this year.
The showdown with Naz Reid comes in at the 10th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs scoring only 48.1% of their field goals this year when they are playing at home.
The Jazz have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.
The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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