Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2025

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz · Jan 11, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 1:25 AM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has successfully made 73.4% of his shots from the field while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
The clash with Mason Plumlee slots into just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs tallying a monstrous 17.9 points per game this year.
The 2nd-quickest pace away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Jazz.
The Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The faceoff with Mason Plumlee as it relates to getting to the free-throw line lands in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a monstrous 4.3 foul shots per game this year.

Favors Under

The Jazz are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns).
Walker Kessler has made just 49.9% of his free throw attempts this season, a sizeable decrease from his 62.0 rate last season.
Walker Kessler stands to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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