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Walker Kessler

Walker Kessler Points
Player Prop - 1/9/2025

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Walker Kessler has made an impressive 74.3% of his field goal attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 68.5 rate last year.

Walker Kessler has tallied 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 76th percentile.

The rate of treys hit against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (51.1%) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The 6th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler ranks in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year.

In regard to scoring, the Jazz's lackluster 109.1 points per game playing at home settles in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Jazz.

Relative to last year's 62.0% mark, Walker Kessler's foul-shot ability has diminished this year to 49.9%.

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game (23rd percentile).

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