Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2025

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat · Jan 9, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has made an impressive 74.3% of his field goal attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 68.5 rate last year.
Walker Kessler has tallied 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The rate of treys hit against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (51.1%) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The 6th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler ranks in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year.
In regard to scoring, the Jazz's lackluster 109.1 points per game playing at home settles in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Jazz.
Relative to last year's 62.0% mark, Walker Kessler's foul-shot ability has diminished this year to 49.9%.
The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game (23rd percentile).