Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2025

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz · Jan 5, 2025

Updated Jan 6, 2025 3:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler comes in at the 98th percentile for shooting efficiency while on the road with an impressive 71.9% rate this year.
The 5th-fastest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 3rd-best in in the league as the visting team with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Goga Bitadze has been remarkably high this year (4.1 free throw attempts per game when they are playing on the road: 86th percentile).

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Jazz's feeble 110.7 points per game ranks 10th-worst in the league this year.
The number of field goals converted against Goga Bitadze has been very low (4.0 per game) when he is on his home court and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Orlando Magic).
Relative to last season's 62.0% clip, Walker Kessler's free-throw ability has been reduced this season to 45.0%.
Walker Kessler will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player production across the board.

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