Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 9:25 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has made 71.9% of his field goal attempts while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
The showdown with Bam Adebayo lands in the 100th percentile with the other team's starting Cs burying a monstrous 47.6% of their three-point attempts this year.
The 5th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Utah Jazz.
Walker Kessler has successfully made just 45.0% of his free throw attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 62.0 mark last year.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Bam Adebayo has been quite low this year (2.4 foul shots per game when they are on their home court: 14th percentile).
Walker Kessler figures to suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.