Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

New York Knicks vs Utah Jazz · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 1, 2025 11:00 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Walker Kessler comes in at the 99th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a great 50.0% rate this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 7th-best in in the league away from their home court with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Jazz's unimpressive 111.0 points per game comes in as the 10th-fewest in the league this year.
The showdown with Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 7th percentile with opposing starting Cs burying a mere 11.8% of their three-point attempts this year when they are on the away squad.
The Knicks have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Jazz.
Relative to last year's 62.0% mark, Walker Kessler's foul-shot performance has tailed off this year to 45.0%.
The matchup against Karl-Anthony Towns is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Towns is at home and defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 1.9 foul shots per game (3rd percentile).