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Walker Kessler

Walker Kessler Points
Player Prop - 12/30/2024

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Walker Kessler has sunk 6.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage.
  • The Utah Jazz will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 2nd-best in in the league as the home team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
  • The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Nikola Jokic has been quite high (3.6 foul shots per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (77th percentile).
  • Walker Kessler is expected to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to offense, the Jazz's feeble 107.3 points per game while on their home court rates 4th-lowest in the league this year.
  • The number of 3-pointers attempted against Nikola Jokic has been quite low (1.0 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
  • The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.
  • In contrast to last year's 62.0% mark, Walker Kessler's free-throw ability has decreased this year to 45.0%.

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