Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 10:54 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has sunk 6.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's made overall this year while on his home court.
The matchup vs. Joel Embiid is a good one for 3-point attempts; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.9 threes per game (100th percentile).
The 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to increase player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Jazz have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year.
The Jazz are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the 76ers).
Compared to last year's 62.0% clip, Walker Kessler's free-throw performance has been reduced this year to 45.7%.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Joel Embiid has been very low this year (0.8 free throws per game when they are playing at home: 3rd percentile).