Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 9:54 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has made 77.2% of his field goal attempts while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 5th-best in in the league on the road with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Deandre Ayton has been remarkably high (3.6 free throw attempts per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (78th percentile).

Favors Under

The Jazz have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
When on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs, Deandre Ayton slots into the 7th percentile with a mere 7.6 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year.
The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Walker Kessler has successfully made a measly 45.4% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly lower than his 62.0 mark last season.
Walker Kessler will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.