Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 23, 2024 10:31 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler measures in the 99th percentile for scoring efficiency with an excellent 76.4% rate this year.
Walker Kessler has successfully made a whopping 100.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, significantly more than his 21.4 mark last season.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should increase plays for the Utah Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Jazz's unimpressive 110.2 points per game settles in as the 10th-fewest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have totaled 37.3 3-point attempts per game (25th-most in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, resulting in a good matchup.
The number of points averaged against Jarrett Allen has been very low (12.0 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (4th percentile).
The faceoff with Jarrett Allen as it relates to getting to the free-throw line places in the 14th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.1 free throws per game this year.
Walker Kessler is expected to experience a decrease in output for all stats on account of being on the road in this contest.