Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Utah Jazz · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 21, 2024 10:30 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 21.4% rate, Walker Kessler's three-point performance has risen this season to 100.0%.
The matchup against Nic Claxton is a favorable one for shots from the field; when Claxton is at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 73.4% of their field goal attempts (100th percentile).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
The Utah Jazz have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Utah Jazz's unimpressive 110.4 points per game places 10th-worst in the league this year.
The Jazz will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
In contrast to last season's 62.0% clip, Walker Kessler's free-throw effectiveness has diminished this season to 47.2%.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Nic Claxton has been remarkably low this year (2.6 foul shot attempts per game: 18th percentile).
Walker Kessler will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.