Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Walker Kessler places in the 97th percentile for field goal ability with the home court advantage with a superb 72.6% rate this year.
The number of shots from the field against Anthony Davis has been very high (12.5 per game) when away from his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year (96th percentile).
The 9th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player production for all stats.

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Utah Jazz's poor 105.4 points per game when playing at home places weakest in the league this year.
The Utah Jazz are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
Relative to last year's 62.0% rate, Walker Kessler's free-throw proficiency has dropped this year to 40.8%.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Anthony Davis has been remarkably low this year (1.3 foul shot attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 7th percentile).

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