Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 30, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 9:24 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-108/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has sunk 71.9% of his shot attempts from the field on his home court this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
While playing on the road and facing fellow starting Cs, Dereck Lively II places in the 100th percentile with a colossal 13.5 field goal attempts against him per game this year.
The 10th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.7 points per game on their home court comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
Walker Kessler has made a measly 35.2% of his foul shots this season, significantly lower than his 62.0 mark last season.