Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Nov 9, 2024

Updated Nov 9, 2024 10:48 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler rates in the 95th percentile for field goal performance without the home court advantage with an excellent 80.9% rate this year.
The matchup with Victor Wembanyama ranks in the 97th percentile with opposing starting Cs nailing an enormous 66.7% of their three-point shots this year when they are on the road.
The Jazz have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Jazz have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler rates in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Utah Jazz have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Spurs).
Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler measures in the 5th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a bad 36.7% rate this year.
The matchup against Victor Wembanyama is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; when Wembanyama is playing at home and guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game (10th percentile).