Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2024

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors · Oct 25, 2024

Updated Oct 26, 2024 1:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-112/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler registers in the 99th percentile for scoring effectiveness with an excellent 68.7% rate since the start of last season.
The 6th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Jazz.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA on the road since the start of last season, which should lead to more plays for the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Walker Kessler will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

In regard to treys, the Jazz's subpar 35.4% rate of sunk threes measures as the 9th-lowest in the league since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Trayce Jackson-Davis is a tough one for three-pointers; when Jackson-Davis is playing on the road and facing other starting Cs since the start of last season, they have sunk a measly 20.1% of their 3-point attempts (4th percentile).
Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler registers in the 10th percentile for free-throw performance with a poor 62.5% rate since the start of last season.

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