Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has successfully made 100.0% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 68.8% higher than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games away from home.
The Utah Jazz will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last year's 51.0% rate, Walker Kessler's foul-shot prowess has spiked this year to 58.6%.

Favors Under

As it relates to 3-pointers, the Utah Jazz's unimpressive 34.1% rate of drained threes as the road team settles in as the 3rd-fewest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Walker Kessler will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production across the board.

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