Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 9:37 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler places in the 98th percentile for shooting effectiveness with an exceptional 67.5% rate this year.
The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 2.2 3-point shots per game (97th percentile).
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Utah Jazz.
Out of all players in the league, Walker Kessler measures in the 10th percentile for free-throw ability while playing at home with a subpar 50.6% rate this year.