Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 22, 2024 10:45 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has converted 78.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 7.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year on his home court.
The number of points compiled against Nick Richards has been very high (16.9 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Hornets have given up the least offensive boards per game (7.9) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to three-pointers, the Utah Jazz's lackluster 35.9% rate of successful threes measures as the 9th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Jazz are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 9th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
The showdown with Nick Richards in regard to getting to the free-throw line slots into the 17th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting only 3.0 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court.