Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has converted 76.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.8% more than he's made over the course of the year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise possessions for the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games when they are at home, their opposition has secured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).
The matchup against Draymond Green is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 4.9 foul shots per game (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The matchup against Draymond Green is a difficult one for shots from the field; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a mere 49.7% of their shot attempts from the field (3rd percentile).
The Jazz have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Walker Kessler has converted 52.4% of his foul shot attempts this year, placing him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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