Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has converted 83.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 12.2% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing at home.
This year, the other team has averaged 44.9% on field goal attempts (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Thunder, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.
The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will likely see a rise in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz will likely see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler has converted 50.3% of his foul shots this year, ranking in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Over the last 20 games when they are on their home court, the other team has attempted 24.9 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

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