Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 1:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has sunk 81.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 13.2% more than he's converted overall this year.
Walker Kessler has made 66.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 39.4% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
The Jazz have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 14thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Jazz have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have totaled 39.4 three attempts per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Rockets, designating this as a strong matchup.
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted an enormous 27.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (most in the league).
Walker Kessler will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player production for all stats.

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