Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has converted 75.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 13.2% more than he's converted overall this year.
Walker Kessler has made 100.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 70.0% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league away from their home court this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Walker Kessler will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz have been the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
This year, the other team has captured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can result in extra opportunities for offense).
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have attempted 23.6 free throws per game (10th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

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