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Walker Kessler

Walker Kessler Points
Player Prop - 12/30/2023

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Walker Kessler has made 69.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Walker Kessler has converted 66.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 36.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.

The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, their opposition has snagged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to additional chances for offense).

This matchup is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 19.4 free throws per game when the Heat are the visiting squad this year (3rd-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jazz rank as the least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

This matchup is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (39.4).

The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the slowest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Miami Heat).

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