Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 9:54 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has converted 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 27.8% more than he's converted from three overall this season.
The matchup with Jonas Valanciunas places in only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs burying a colossal 63.3% of their field goals this year.
The Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have come down with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (preserving possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
Walker Kessler has successfully made 47.2% of his free throws on the road this year, putting him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team has attempted 26.4 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
Walker Kessler will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production for all stats.

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