Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Utah Jazz · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has successfully made 71.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 13.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive boards per game this year.
The Raptors have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have attempted 18.6 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 33.3% clip, Walker Kessler's 3-point effectiveness has dropped this season to 12.5%.
In terms of offense, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.3 points per game as the road team measures as the 2nd-weakest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Raptors is a positive one; they have allowed the 10th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (117.5).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league in their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Utah Jazz.
Walker Kessler will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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