Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Utah Jazz · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has sunk 69.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.0% more than he's converted overall this year.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has successfully made 8.3% of his treys away from home this year, putting him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.
In regard to offense, the Jazz's subpar 106.9 points per game when playing on the road measures as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a good one for three-point shots; opposing squads have put up the 3rd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 15 games (39.5%).
This year, opposing squads have attempted 27.0 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.
Walker Kessler stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.