Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 9:14 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Walker Kessler will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 33.3% rate, Walker Kessler's three-point efficiency has declined this year to 14.3%.
As it relates to scoring, the Jazz's subpar 107.6 points per game measures as the 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (0.8).
The Nets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Jazz.
While playing away from home, the Nets have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (12.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).