Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have averaged 1.0 threes per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, creating a favorable matchup.
The 8th-speediest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has sunk a measly 54.5% of his field goals this year, quite a bit less than his 71.3 rate last year.
Walker Kessler has made a mere 16.7% of his attempts from downtown this season, a significant dropoff from his 33.3 mark last season.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
The Jazz will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have nabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (retaining possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

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