Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs New York Knicks · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 2:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 14thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has nabbed 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Knicks (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have attempted 19.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Walker Kessler ought to see an increase in production in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has made a measly 54.3% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit less than his 71.3 mark last year.
Walker Kessler has sunk just 16.7% of his treys this year, significantly less than his 33.3 mark last year.
The Jazz have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year.
This matchup is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing squads have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (38.2).
The 5th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.

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