Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magic · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 8:51 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Walker Kessler comes in at the 95th percentile for field goal ability while playing away from home with a an outstanding 66.7% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler rates in the 99th percentile for 3-point efficiency with the home court advantage with a an impressive 75.0% rate since the start of last season.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 5thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
With the home court advantage, the Orlando Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
In regard to shooting, the Utah Jazz's poor 47.2% field goal percentage while playing away from home rates 6th-weakest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, opposing starting Cs have totaled 1.1 3-point attempts per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, making this a difficult matchup.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (11th-lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.