Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 4:51 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has made 71.9% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Walker Kessler has converted 50.0% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
The Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Kings may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a colossal 4.1 free throws per game over the last 5 games (24th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Sacramento is a hard one for field goal attempts; when the Kings are the visiting squad, opposing starting Cs have tallied the 11th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.5).
The Utah Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While playing on the road, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).