Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has converted 71.7% of his shots from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Walker Kessler has converted 50.0% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup against the Hornets is a positive one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs since the start of last season (18.6).
The Utah Jazz rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Hornets is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a massive 4.2 free throws per game since the start of last season (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Utah Jazz check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which should reduce opportunities for the Jazz.
While on their home court, the Hornets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).